◆ Independent modeling expertise — 20+ years

A senior modeler on your side of the table.

Twenty-plus years building and overseeing the models companies bet their budgets on. Whether you’re hiring a firm to build one, or you need a direct-mail targeting model built right, I’m the independent expert who makes sure the work actually drives better decisions — not just an impressive-looking deck.

Mike Belli

Three ways I can be in your corner.

🔍

Analyst in Your Corner

“I’m hiring a firm to build a model”

You’re commissioning — or already knee-deep in — an expensive MMM, targeting, or predictive-analytics project, and no one on your side can fully evaluate what the vendor delivers. I represent you: choosing the right firm, holding them to the right standard, and catching the model that looks great but points your budget the wrong way.

How I represent you ↗

🎯

Direct Mail Model

“I need a direct-mail targeting model”

For high-value acquisition — subscription services and big-ticket purchases. I build a model that scores your prospects and tells you exactly who to mail and where to stop, so the same mail budget brings more customers, and better ones.

See the offer ↗

🤝

Partner With Me

“I run a mail house”

Want to offer smart targeting to your clients without building a data-science team? Let’s talk about powering it behind the scenes.

Partner with me ↗

Expertise you can check, judgment you can trust

20+ years

Building the models — and managing the data scientists who build them.

Decisions, not decks

I judge a model by whether it gets the decision right — not by how well it fits a chart.

Independent by design

When I’m in your corner, I’m only in your corner.

See an end-to-end modeling project ↗  ·  About me ↗

Straight talk on what makes a model actually work

I write about why well-fitting models still get budget decisions wrong — and how to tell the difference before the money’s spent.

Not sure which of these you need?

Tell me what you’re working on and I’ll point you the right way — even if that’s somewhere other than me.